| Standings | Rules | Entries | Progress Chart |
| After Week# | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddsmaker | Best-case | 1664 | 1664 | 1664 | 1444 | 1444 | 1444 | 1426 | 1426 | 1373 | ---- |
| Worst-case | 536 | 636 | 736 | 1036 | 1104 | 1240 | 1272 | 1331 | 1361 | ---- | |
| Expected | 1100 | 1150 | 1200 | 1240 | 1274 | 1342 | 1349 | 1379 | 1367 | 1373 | |
| Rank | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| CPs Left | 100 | 100 | 100 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 59 | 59 | 12 | -- | |
| SNAKE EYES | Best-case | 1712 | 1712 | 1712 | 1429 | 1429 | 1429 | 1429 | 1427 | 1336 | ---- |
| Worst-case | 488 | 588 | 688 | 971 | 1031 | 1151 | 1211 | 1268 | 1327 | ---- | |
| Expected | 1100 | 1150 | 1200 | 1200 | 1230 | 1290 | 1320 | 1348 | 1332 | 1336 | |
| Rank | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| CPs Left | 100 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 59 | 9 | -- | |
| Nathan Sanders | Best-case | 1646 | 1365 | 1365 | 1297 | 1297 | 1297 | 1297 | 1297 | 1267 | ---- |
| Worst-case | 554 | 560 | 635 | 883 | 946 | 1072 | 1135 | 1198 | 1261 | ---- | |
| Expected | 1100 | 963 | 1000 | 1090 | 1122 | 1185 | 1216 | 1248 | 1264 | 1267 | |
| Rank | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | |
| CPs Left | 100 | 75 | 75 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 32 | -- | |
| Diddledive | Best-case | 1705 | 1655 | 1655 | 1350 | 1350 | 1350 | 1315 | 1315 | 1230 | ---- |
| Worst-case | 495 | 570 | 665 | 950 | 1005 | 1115 | 1145 | 1145 | 1230 | ---- | |
| Expected | 1100 | 1113 | 1160 | 1150 | 1178 | 1233 | 1230 | 1253 | 1230 | 1230 | |
| Rank | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | |
| CPs Left | 100 | 95 | 95 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 45 | 45 | 0 | -- | |
| Sky | Best-case | 1566 | 1482 | 1482 | 1189 | 1189 | 1189 | 1059 | 1059 | 1036 | ---- |
| Worst-case | 554 | 598 | 684 | 884 | 927 | 1013 | 1013 | 1026 | 1036 | ---- | |
| Expected | 1060 | 1040 | 1083 | 1040 | 1062 | 1105 | 1036 | 1043 | 1036 | 1036 | |
| Rank | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
| CPs Left | 95 | 86 | 86 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 13 | 13 | 0 | -- | |
| Jason Wuthrich | Best-case | 1613 | 1467 | 1467 | 1189 | 1189 | 1098 | 1098 | 1002 | 1002 | ---- |
| Worst-case | 587 | 608 | 693 | 891 | 934 | 978 | 1002 | 1002 | 1002 | ---- | |
| Expected | 1100 | 1038 | 1080 | 1040 | 1062 | 1038 | 1050 | 1002 | 1002 | 1002 | |
| Rank | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |
| CPs Left | 100 | 85 | 85 | 43 | 43 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | -- |
NOTE: The contest started after week 2. Four candidates were fired in week 6, two more were fired in week 8, and two more in week 11. The final two candidates were given their final task in week 12, with the winner announced in week 13. At that point, the scores are final.
For more Certainty Contest action, visit Nathan Sanders's Survivor Contest or Peca Fan's Amazing Race Contest.